Dispute or Mediator? the Selection and Effectiveness of Conflict Management in Civil Wars1

نویسندگان

  • Paulina POSPIESZNA
  • Adam Mickiewicz
  • Gerald SCHNEIDER
چکیده

The literature on conflict management offers two explanations of why the effectiveness of thirdparties to settle militarized disputes differs. The structural research tradition focuses on conflictcharacteristics, while the individualist approaches highlight the background, skills and powerof a mediator, as well as the mediation strategy. This article reconciles these two approaches,and examines especially the effectiveness of mediation strategies. Accounting for the selec-tion of mediation and the success of mediation attempts, we use the CWM 1945–2004 dataset.The analysis demonstrates that mediators who were able to pursue a determined strategy facea higher chance of success.

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تاریخ انتشار 2017